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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks December 2002
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]

          
             GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - DECEMBER 2002


          !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!


  SPECIAL NOTE:  Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
  and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
  websites:

    ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph> OR http://64.235.42.210>
    http://mpittweather.com>

*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
  from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.  In a few instances, information from
  warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
  The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
  pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
  when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
  Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
  issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
  Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
  (PAGASA).  Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me
  each month tracks obtained from warnings issued by the National
  Meteorological Center of China (NMCC), the Central Weather Bureau
  of Taiwan (CWBT) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO).    A very
  special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so
  reliably provide.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Super Typhoon PONGSONA (31W / 0226)                 02 - 11 Dec

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: PONGSONA              Cyclone Number: 31W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0226

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 DEC 02 0600   7.2 N  164.9 E  1004         30  JMA Bulletin
02 DEC 02 1200   8.0 N  163.7 E  1004         30       "
02 DEC 02 1800   7.4 N  163.5 E  1004   25    30  JMA: 8.3 N, 162.4 E
02 DEC 03 0000   8.6 N  163.0 E  1004   35    30
02 DEC 03 0600   9.2 N  162.2 E  1002   35    30
02 DEC 03 1200   9.2 N  161.2 E  1000   40    35
02 DEC 03 1800   9.1 N  160.4 E   994   45    40
02 DEC 04 0000   8.4 N  159.7 E   992   45    40
02 DEC 04 0600   8.4 N  159.3 E   990   50    45
02 DEC 04 1200   8.4 N  158.9 E   990   50    45
02 DEC 04 1800   8.4 N  158.2 E   980   55    55
02 DEC 05 0000   8.5 N  156.5 E   980   60    55  JMA: 8.0 N, 157.3 E
02 DEC 05 0600   8.6 N  155.7 E   980   65    55  JMA: 8.0 N, 156.3 E
02 DEC 05 1200   8.4 N  155.0 E   975   70    60
02 DEC 05 1800   8.8 N  154.0 E   970   70    65
02 DEC 06 0000   8.9 N  152.7 E   970   75    65
02 DEC 06 0600   9.0 N  152.0 E   970   80    65
02 DEC 06 1200   9.3 N  150.9 E   970   85    65
02 DEC 06 1800   9.6 N  150.1 E   965   90    70
02 DEC 07 0000  10.4 N  149.1 E   965   95    70
02 DEC 07 0600  10.9 N  148.1 E   955  100    80
02 DEC 07 1200  11.3 N  147.2 E   955  105    80
02 DEC 07 1800  11.9 N  146.2 E   950  110    80
02 DEC 08 0000  12.6 N  145.7 E   950  120    80
02 DEC 08 0600  13.5 N  145.2 E   950  130    80  Very near NE Guam
02 DEC 08 1200  14.3 N  144.7 E   940  130    90  Just north of Guam
02 DEC 08 1800  15.2 N  144.2 E   940  130    90
02 DEC 09 0000  16.2 N  143.8 E   940  125    90
02 DEC 09 0600  16.9 N  143.7 E   940  125    90
02 DEC 09 1200  18.2 N  143.7 E   940  115    90
02 DEC 09 1800  19.1 N  144.2 E   940  110    90
02 DEC 10 0000  20.5 N  145.8 E   945  110    85
02 DEC 10 0600  22.5 N  147.4 E   945  100    85
02 DEC 10 1200  24.1 N  150.3 E   950  100    85
02 DEC 10 1800  25.6 N  153.0 E   965   90    65
02 DEC 11 0000  27.1 N  156.0 E   980   75    55  JMA: 27.7 N, 157.1 E
02 DEC 11 0600  29.0 N  160.0 E   996         45  XT - JMA Bulletins
02 DEC 11 1200  30.0 N  164.0 E  1004         35
02 DEC 11 1800  32.0 N  169.0 E  1008         35

Note: The estimated 10-min avg MSW values from NMCC follow in the
table below:

   Date   Time      Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts
          (GMT)        NMCC
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 DEC 03 1200          35
02 DEC 03 1800          35
02 DEC 04 0000          40
02 DEC 04 0600          40
02 DEC 04 1200          45
02 DEC 04 1800          45
02 DEC 05 0000          55
02 DEC 05 0600          55
02 DEC 05 1200          65
02 DEC 05 1800          65
02 DEC 06 0000          70
02 DEC 06 0600          70
02 DEC 06 1200          70
02 DEC 06 1800          80
02 DEC 07 0000          80
02 DEC 07 0600          90
02 DEC 07 1200          90
02 DEC 07 1800          90
02 DEC 08 0000          90
02 DEC 08 0600          90
02 DEC 08 1200          90
02 DEC 08 1800         100
02 DEC 09 0000         100
02 DEC 09 0600         100
02 DEC 09 1200         100
02 DEC 09 1800         100
02 DEC 10 0000          90
02 DEC 10 0600          80
02 DEC 10 1200          80
02 DEC 10 1800          75
02 DEC 11 0000          65
02 DEC 11 0600          55

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.   Occasionally some information may
  have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other
  bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.
 
     The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute
  averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military
  weather services for tropical cyclone warnings.     For synoptic
  observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and
  3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to
  modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity;
  hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone (05B)                              22 - 25 Dec

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 05B     Basin: NIO

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 DEC 22 2030   3.4 N   80.4 E                   SAB: T2.5/2.5 (35 kts)
02 DEC 23 0230   4.3 N   80.7 E                   SAB: T3.0/3.0 (45 kts)
02 DEC 23 0830   4.7 N   80.7 E                   SAB: T3.0/3.0 (45 kts)
02 DEC 23 1430   5.2 N   80.5 E                   SAB: T3.5/3.5 (55 kts)
02 DEC 23 1800   4.9 N   81.9 E         35        JTWC Warnings
02 DEC 24 0600   5.7 N   83.1 E         35
02 DEC 24 1800   6.8 N   84.8 E         35
02 DEC 25 0600   7.6 N   85.6 E         35
02 DEC 25 1800   7.9 N   86.7 E         35

Note: Since the system appeared so well-organized prior to the issuance
of warnings by JTWC, and since I was aware of several tropical cyclone
analysts who felt the system was of tropical storm intensity early on
23 December, I have included some satellite fixes from SAB which
certainly classified the system as being quite stronger than did JTWC.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
  Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
  Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin.  The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from
  JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone CRYSTAL (MFR-04 / 05S)             22 - 30 Dec
   Tropical Depression (MFR-05 / 07S)                  25 Dec - 04 Jan
   Tropical Storm DELFINA (MFR-06 / 08S)               30 Dec - 01 Jan

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: CRYSTAL               Cyclone Number: 05S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 04

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 DEC 22 1200   8.2 S   68.3 E  1004         25  Locally 30 kts to south
02 DEC 22 1800   8.7 S   68.7 E  1002         25             "
02 DEC 23 0600  10.2 S   66.9 E   996         30  Locally 35 kts to south
02 DEC 23 1200  11.2 S   66.6 E   994   35    35
02 DEC 23 1800  12.1 S   65.8 E   992         40
02 DEC 24 0000  12.4 S   64.9 E   987   45    45
02 DEC 24 0600  12.6 S   64.3 E   985         50
02 DEC 24 1200  13.9 S   62.7 E   982   55    50  JTWC: 13.5 S, 63.2 E
02 DEC 24 1800  14.3 S   62.8 E   978         50
02 DEC 25 0000  14.6 S   61.8 E   970   65    65  
02 DEC 25 0600  15.0 S   61.8 E   970         65
02 DEC 25 1200  15.7 S   61.5 E   972   75    60
02 DEC 25 1800  16.4 S   60.7 E   972         60
02 DEC 26 0000  16.8 S   60.1 E   972   70    60
02 DEC 26 0600  17.3 S   60.1 E   972         60
02 DEC 26 1200  18.5 S   59.8 E   972   70    60
02 DEC 26 1800  19.1 S   59.5 E   966         65
02 DEC 27 0000  19.8 S   59.3 E   965   90    70
02 DEC 27 0600  20.7 S   59.5 E   956         75
02 DEC 27 1200  21.6 S   59.9 E   956   80    75
02 DEC 27 1800  22.4 S   60.3 E   958         75
02 DEC 28 0000  23.1 S   60.7 E   962   80    70  JTWC: 23.3 S, 61.2 E
02 DEC 28 0600  24.1 S   60.4 E   975         60
02 DEC 28 1200  25.2 S   61.1 E   976   70    55
02 DEC 28 1800  26.2 S   62.2 E   978         55
02 DEC 29 0000  26.8 S   62.7 E   984   40    50
02 DEC 29 0600  27.1 S   63.1 E   984         50
02 DEC 29 1200  27.7 S   64.4 E   990         40
02 DEC 29 1800  28.0 S   66.1 E   990         40  Extratropical
02 DEC 30 0000  28.7 S   67.7 E   995         40
02 DEC 30 0600  29.3 S   69.5 E   998         35
02 DEC 30 1200  30.6 S   71.7 E  1000         30  Locally 30 kts to east

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 07S     Basin: SWI/AUW
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 05

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 DEC 25 0400   3.0 S   88.0 E  1005             STWO from Perth TCWC
02 DEC 25 1800   5.1 S   87.6 E   999         25  Locally 30 kts to south
02 DEC 26 0000   6.6 S   87.3 E   998         30
02 DEC 26 0600   7.7 S   88.5 E   998         30
02 DEC 26 1200   8.1 S   88.7 E   998         30
02 DEC 26 1800   8.6 S   88.9 E   998   30    30
02 DEC 27 0000   9.5 S   89.1 E   996         30
02 DEC 27 0600   9.5 S   89.7 E   996   30    30  
02 DEC 27 1200   9.1 S   90.2 E   998         30  Final MFR Warning
02 DEC 27 1800   9.1 S   90.8 E         30        JTWC Warning
02 DEC 28 0400   9.2 S   91.5 E   998             STWO from Perth TCWC
02 DEC 28 0600   9.4 S   93.1 E         30        JTWC Warning
02 DEC 28 1800  10.1 S   93.7 E         30        Final JTWC Warning
02 DEC 29 0400   9.7 S   94.1 E   998             STWOs from Perth TCWC
02 DEC 30 0400  10.0 S   93.0 E  1000
02 DEC 31 0400  10.0 S   92.0 E  1000
03 JAN 01 0400  10.0 S   91.0 E  1000
03 JAN 02 0400   8.0 S   91.0 E  1002
03 JAN 03 0400  10.0 S   92.0 E  1002
03 JAN 04 0400  11.0 S   91.0 E  1006

Note: No MSW estimates were given in the STWOs from Perth and I have not
attempted to supply any.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: DELFINA               Cyclone Number: 08S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 06

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 DEC 30 1200  16.0 S   43.0 E  1007         25
02 DEC 30 1800  16.2 S   42.2 E  1004   35    25
02 DEC 31 0000  16.3 S   41.0 E  1000         25
02 DEC 31 0600  16.2 S   41.5 E   998   35    30
02 DEC 31 1200  16.2 S   41.2 E   992         40
02 DEC 31 1800  15.9 S   40.2 E   984   55    50
03 JAN 01 0000  16.0 S   39.6 E   985         45  Inland in Mozambique
03 JAN 01 0600  15.8 S   39.1 E         45        Final JTWC Warning

Note: The remnants of Delfina remained over land in East Africa for a
few days, then drifted back out over the Mozambique Channel where some
modest re-intensification took place.  No warnings on Delfina's second
incarnation were issued by JTWC, but MFR issued warnings on the system
as Tropical Disturbance 07, even though it was acknowledged that the
disturbance was most likely a redevelopment of Delfina.  For this reason
I am treating the system separately and the track will be contained in
the tracks file for January.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
  Wellington, New Zealand.  The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
  Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
  Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
  those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone YOLANDE (02F / 04P)                29 Nov - 06 Dec
   Tropical Depression (03F)                           10-15 & 19-20 Dec
   Tropical Cyclone ZOE (04F / 06P)                    23 Dec - 01 Jan

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: YOLANDE               Cyclone Number: 04P     Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 02F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 NOV 29 2100  11.5 S  178.0 E   999         25  See Note
02 NOV 30 0600  10.0 S  179.0 E  1000         25
02 NOV 30 2100  11.0 S  180.0 E  1002         25
02 DEC 01 0830  13.0 S  178.5 W  1000         25
02 DEC 01 2100  14.0 S  178.0 W  1001         25
02 DEC 02 0600  15.6 S  178.2 W  1002         25
02 DEC 02 1800  16.0 S  177.0 W  1002         25
02 DEC 03 0600  15.7 S  177.9 W  1002         25
02 DEC 03 1800  17.0 S  179.0 W  1000         25
02 DEC 03 2100  16.0 S  178.0 W  1000         30  Relocated
02 DEC 04 0000  16.8 S  177.9 W  1000         30
02 DEC 04 0600  17.9 S  177.0 W  1000         30
02 DEC 04 1200  19.3 S  176.5 W   998         30
02 DEC 04 1800  20.0 S  175.0 W   998   40    30  JTWC: 20.0 S, 174.5 W
02 DEC 04 2300  20.4 S  174.7 W   995         35  Named
02 DEC 05 0000  21.4 S  173.5 W   995         35
02 DEC 05 0600  21.0 S  173.2 W   995   35    35  
02 DEC 05 1200  21.8 S  172.2 W   996         30  Becoming extratropical
02 DEC 05 1800  22.8 S  171.2 W   996         30  Some peripheral gales
02 DEC 06 0000  23.2 S  169.3 W   996         30            "
02 DEC 06 0600  24.0 S  168.6 W   996         30            "

Note: The Tropical Disturbance Summaries from Nadi did not mention any
MSW estimate prior to 03/1800 UTC, but considering the reported central
pressures, 25 kts seems to be a good estimate.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 03F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 DEC 10 2100  13.0 S  165.0 W  1003         25
02 DEC 11 0600  14.0 S  164.0 W  1003         30
02 DEC 11 2100  13.9 S  162.8 W  1004         30
02 DEC 12 0600  14.5 S  163.3 W  1002         30
02 DEC 12 2100  14.0 S  165.0 W  1002         30
02 DEC 13 2100  16.0 S  171.0 W  1002         25
02 DEC 14 2100  16.0 S  176.0 W  1006         20  MSW estimated
02 DEC 15 0600  17.0 S  178.0 W  1007         20        "
02 DEC 19 2100  16.0 S  173.0 E  1008         15
02 DEC 20 0600  15.0 S  174.0 E  1005         15

Note: No warnings were issued on this depression by JTWC.  The Tropical
Disturbance Summaries from Nadi dropped the system after 15 December,
but briefly mentioned it again on the 19th and 20th.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: ZOE                   Cyclone Number: 06P     Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 04F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

02 DEC 23 2100   8.0 S  176.0 W  1007         25
02 DEC 24 2100   9.0 S  180.0 W  1007         25
02 DEC 25 0900  10.7 S  178.3 E  1003         25
02 DEC 25 1200  11.0 S  177.7 E         35        JTWC Warning
02 DEC 25 1800  11.3 S  177.3 E   996         30
02 DEC 25 2100  10.8 S  175.5 E   995         35  Relocated and named
02 DEC 26 0000  10.8 S  175.0 E   990   55    45  
02 DEC 26 0600  10.8 S  174.7 E   980         55
02 DEC 26 1200  10.7 S  174.1 E   975   75    60  JTWC: 10.8 S, 173.7 E
02 DEC 26 1800  10.9 S  173.2 E   970         60
02 DEC 27 0000  11.3 S  172.5 E   960   95    75  
02 DEC 27 0600  11.5 S  171.5 E   920        110
02 DEC 27 1200  11.6 S  170.6 E   910  155   120
02 DEC 27 1800  11.8 S  170.2 E   900        125
02 DEC 28 0000  12.3 S  169.8 E   900  155   125
02 DEC 28 0600  12.5 S  169.5 E   890        130
02 DEC 28 1200  12.5 S  169.2 E   900  145   125
02 DEC 28 1800  12.5 S  169.3 E   900        125
02 DEC 29 0000  12.7 S  169.5 E   915  120   115
02 DEC 29 0600  13.0 S  169.9 E   920        110
02 DEC 29 1200  13.5 S  170.4 E   925  100   100
02 DEC 29 1800  13.9 S  171.0 E   930         95
02 DEC 30 0000  14.2 S  171.7 E   935   95    90
02 DEC 30 0600  15.0 S  172.1 E   950         80
02 DEC 30 1200  15.3 S  172.5 E   965   75    70  JTWC: 15.9 S, 173.2 E
02 DEC 30 1800  16.5 S  173.3 E   975         60  
02 DEC 31 0000  16.5 S  173.5 E   980   55    55  
02 DEC 31 0600  17.8 S  173.6 E   985         50
02 DEC 31 1200  18.3 S  174.0 E   987   55    45
02 DEC 31 1800  19.5 S  174.8 E   990         40
03 JAN 01 0000  20.2 S  175.0 E   997   45    30

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

             !!!!!!  IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ  !!!!!!

     It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the
  cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's
  Note at the end of the cyclone summaries.   The tropical cyclone
  tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/
  advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone
  warning agencies around the world.   Users of these tracks should
  be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
  post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
  analysts at the several warning centers.

     For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
  cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
  the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>

     The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
  Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
  tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
  North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:

     http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>

     In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning
  centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best
  tracks" might be archived.


  PREPARED BY:

  Gary Padgett              [email protected]


  SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:

  Michael V. Padua          [email protected] 
                            [email protected]

  Huang Chunliang           [email protected]

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

Document: trak0212.htm
Updated: 27th December 2006

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