WTXS21 PGTW 20041231 17:30z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 311721ZDEC2004//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
115 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.7S2 120.9E2 TO 18.8S7
120.6E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT
JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS
TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MET
SAT IMAGERY AT 311430Z2 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS
LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 120.9E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTH
EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2
120.9E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 120.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IM-
AGERY REVEALS INCREASED CONSOLIDATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION
OVER A POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ALL AVAILABLE
QUIKSCAT INFORMATION DOES  NOT SUPPORT THE EXISTENCE OF A WELL
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AT THE SURFACE. FURTHERMORE,
NEITHER THE NOGAPS OR GFS MODELS INITIALIZE ON A CIRCULATION. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. DUE TO INCREASED ORGANIZATION,
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 011730Z2.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20041231 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311721ZDEC2004//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S WARNING NR 001
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   311800Z3 --- NEAR 15.6S2 120.6E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 120.6E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z7 --- 15.9S5 120.4E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   011800Z0 --- 16.2S9 120.2E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z8 --- 16.6S3 119.9E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z1 --- 16.9S6 119.6E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM
    ---
REMARKS:
312100Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.7S3 120.6E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
311730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. A RECENT 311132Z1
COLOR ENHANCED MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER A
DEVELOPING CIRCULATION. THIS IMAGE ALSO REVEALED LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES
CONVERGING TOWARDS THE CENTER. TC 07S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY TO THE
SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE
LOCATED IN CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. NONE OF THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE
INITIALIZED ON THIS SYSTEM BRINGING SOME UNCERTAINTY TO THE CONFIDENCE OF
THE TRACK. TC 07S SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3
IS 14 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN
311721Z DEC 05 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 311730 ) NEXT
WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 AND 012100Z4.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050101 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   010600Z7 --- NEAR 14.3S8 121.6E0
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 121.6E0
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   011800Z0 --- 14.0S5 121.9E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 01 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z8 --- 14.0S5 122.2E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z1 --- 14.3S8 122.4E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z9 --- 14.7S2 122.4E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM
    ---
REMARKS:
010900Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.2S7 121.7E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM
NORTHWEST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 010530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. RECENT
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY CLEARLY INDICATES THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. PREVIOUS POSITION
FIXING CORRELATED TO DEEP COVECTION WHICH HAS BEEN DISPLACED
TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LLCC. 010425Z2 TRMM, 010108Z0 SSMI,
312243Z5 SSMI AND 312228Z8 AMSU MICROWAVE IMAGES SUPPORT
THE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK OF THE LLCC OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS
AND THE RELOCATED WARNING POSITION. TC 07S IS FORECAST TO
INITIALLY TRACK SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND TURN SOUTHWARD
LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING
RIDGE LOCATED IN CENTRAL AUSTRALIA APPEARS TO BE PROVIDING
THE STEERING FLOW. HOWEVER, THE OVERALL STEERING ENVIRONMENT
IS WEAK. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS DO NOT INITIALIZE
WELL ON THIS SYSTEM. NOGAPS HOLDS NO CIRCULATION ON THIS
SYSTEM WHILE UK MET FORECASTS TC 07S TO BE QUASISTATIONARY
OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AND NCEP GFS DEPICTS A FASTER
TRACK NORTHEAST THEN SOUTHWARD. AS A RESULT OF UNCERTAINTY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MODEL DEPICTED STEERING ENVIRONMENT,
CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK FOR TC 07S IS REDUCED.
TC 07S SHOULD CONTINUE TO MODERATELY INTENSIFY IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 AND 020900Z1.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050101 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   011800Z0 --- NEAR 14.2S7 122.4E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 122.4E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z8 --- 14.5S0 123.5E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z1 --- 15.0S6 124.9E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z9 --- 15.9S5 126.7E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.3S8 122.7E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE
AND BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD
TOWARDS LAND AS IT IS STEERED ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A
BUFFER TO THE NORTHEAST. THE LOCATION OF THE SYSTEM
EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS BRINGING THE
SYSTEM PERIODS OF UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE
NORTHEAST. HOWEVER, ENOUGH POLEWARD DISPLACEMENT IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR TO ALLOW THE SHEAR TO WEAKEN SUPPORTING
MODERATE INTENSIFICATION PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE CONFIDENCE
IN FORECAST TRACK HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY NOW THAT MOST
OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE INITIALIZED ON THE SYSTEM. ALL
AVAILABLE MODELS FORECAST THE SYSTEM TO MAKE LANDFALL IN LESS
THAN 24 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE MODEL
GUIDANCE AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
011800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 AND 022100Z5.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050102 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (RAYMOND) WARNING NR 004
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   020600Z8 --- NEAR 14.3S8 123.6E2
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 123.6E2
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z1 --- 14.8S3 125.0E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z9 --- 16.1S8 126.8E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
020900Z1 POSITION NEAR 14.4S9 124.0E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (RAYMOND) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
120 NM NORTH OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS
BASED ON 020530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES
OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP
CONVECTION HAS REMAINED ORGANIZED AND IMPROVED OVER A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO TRACK
SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS LAND AS IT IS STEERED ALONG THE SOUTHERN
EDGE OF A BUFFER TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
ENCOUNTER SOME UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HOWEVER, ENOUGH
POLEWARD DISPLACEMENT IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THE SHEAR TO WEAKEN
SUPPORTING MODERATE INTENSIFICATION PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ALL
AVAILABLE MODELS FORECAST THE SYSTEM TO MAKE LANDFALL IN
LESS THAN 18 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE
MODEL GUIDANCE AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 022100Z5.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050102 21:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (RAYMOND) WARNING NR 005
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   021800Z1 --- NEAR 15.2S8 124.3E0
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 124.3E0
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z9 --- 16.0S7 125.5E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z2 --- 16.5S2 127.5E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
022100Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.4S0 124.6E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (RAYMOND) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
70 NM NORTH OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WAR-
NING POSITION IS BASED ON A 021803Z4 AMSU PASS. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES
OF 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
DEEP CONVECTION IS DECREASING AND THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS DECREASING IN INTENSITY. THE SYS-
TEM IS FORECAST MAKE TO LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF KURI BAY,
AUSTRALIA. AVAILABLE MODELS FORECAST THE SYSTEM TO MAKE
LANDFALL IN APPROXIMATELY 6 TO 8 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS
BASED ON A BLEND OF MODEL GUIDANCE AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WAR-
NINGS AT 030900Z2 AND 032100Z6.//
=========================================================================
WTXS31 PGTW 20050103 09:00z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (RAYMOND) WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   030600Z9 --- NEAR 17.5S3 126.7E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 126.7E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z2 --- 18.2S1 127.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.7S5 127.0E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S (RAYMOND) HAS MADE LANDFALL AND IS LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA.
TC 07S HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS.
THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
030600Z9 IS 5 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//

Tropical cyclone tracks developed by Michael Bath using operational warnings and advisories.

Document: tropical_cyclone_raymond_jtwc_advisories.htm Updated: 17 June 2020 [Australian Severe Weather index] [Copyright Notice] [Email Contacts] [Search This Site] [Privacy Policy]