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Australian Weather Mailing List Archives: 25th December 1998 |
From Subject -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au] Sinister Tropical Low off Qld 002 "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] greetings 003 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] (no subject) 004 Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] SE Qld heavy rain: 228mm at Natural Bridge 005 Patrick Tobin [pdtobin at mail.act.apana.org.au] Canberra Storms 006 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Canberra Storms 007 "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] Wycheproof weather 008 "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] Wycheproof weather 009 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Merry Christmas Weather 010 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Merry Christmas Weather 011 "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] Sorry folks 012 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] advice 013 "wilkes" [lwilkes at mail.austasia.net] Re: Camera shots 014 Phil Bagust [mail.cobweb.com.au at redback.cobwe Adelaide 16:00 CST 015 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Adelaide 16:00 CST 016 "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] Wycheproof weather cont... 017 mildad [mildad at one.net.au] (no subject) 018 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Large cell west Victoria 019 disarm at braenet.com.au nsw chase 020 "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com] Canberra weather 021 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Chase 022 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Storms west Victoria 023 "wilkes" [lwilkes at mail.austasia.net] Storms west Victoria 024 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Storms west Victoria 025 "wilkes" [lwilkes at mail.austasia.net] Storms west Victoria 026 "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] Storms west Victoria -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 001 From: "James Chambers" [jamestorm at ozemail.com.au] To: "Aussie Weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Sinister Tropical Low off Qld Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 00:53:03 +1000 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi all The satellite Image of the 1000hpa low off Cairns seems to improve each time its updated. The BoM maintains it is still in an unfavourable environment to start cyclogenesis, but its doing quite well in its development right now. Satellite Image: http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/gmsd/gmsd.jpg Joint Typhoon Warning Centre: http://metoc.npmocw.navy.mil/npmocw/prods/jtwc.html (Its Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert WTPS22 by the way) Also have a look at the other notes they have there, including the info on TC 09P Regards James Chambers from Brisbane http://www.ozemail.com.au/~jamestorm/bristorm.html -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 002 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal To: aussie-weather at world.std.com, aussie-weather at world.std.com From: "Nandina Morris" [nandina at alphalink.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: greetings Date: Fri, 25 Dec 98 05:42:01 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by penman.es.mq.edu.au id GAA00148 >Mulgrave, Vic Fantastic, Ben, I look forward to your database once lunch and drinks and playing with the grandies' toys is over. It's Christmas Day, around 6.something a.m. Came home last night approx 10p.m. and saw lightening flashes out to the ESE, but a long way away. Another question - does ASWA have a policy re condolences etc for weather related deaths? Maybe it's a girl thing, but I think it would be appropriate for this group, and will even volunteer to be the one, should members like the idea. Cheers, Nandina nandina at alphalink.com.au ---------- > Hey > > I am in the process of building a weather education database at www.nemas.net > .. i have only just started so there is not any huge amount there at the > moment, but keep checking back, i guarantee it will be the most > comprehensive on the internet in a month or two. The one page that is nearing > completion is the Soundings Explanation page (wich shouldn't realy be too hard > for you) and you can find that at > > www.nemas.net/edu/soundings/soundings.htm -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 003 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 06:43:30 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Jimmy here from Schofields We will certainly see good action in Melbourne especially to the E and NE. I would not be surprised to see some severe action. LI to the E and NE of -4 to -6 in that area. This means that area should develop very early like yesterday. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------- Jimmy Deguara from Schofields e-mail: jimmyd at ozemail.com.au homepage with Michael Bath http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 004 Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 19:11:50 +1100 From: Don White [donwhite at ozemail.com.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 4.5 [en] (Win98; I) X-Accept-Language: en To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: SE Qld heavy rain: 228mm at Natural Bridge Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Some of the rainfall from NE NSW in this event was spectacular. Uki, SSW of Murwillumbah had 366 mm to 9 am yesterday including 360 mm in 6 hours from 1.45 am. No wonder the Tweed rose 4.4 m in 1 hour downstream. Brays Creek to the west of Murwillumbah had 176 mm in 7 hours as well. Don White James Chambers wrote: > > Brisbane, Qld > > Hi again... > As it turns out I was by no means alone when we received all this rain. > Here are some stats by the BoM: > > RAINFALL SUMMARY > Rainfall in the past 24 hours was confined mainly to the Peninsula, the east > coast north of about Mackay and the southeast Coastal districts where there > were > some very heavy falls. The highest falls included Natural Bridge 228mm, > Nerang > 106mm, Miami and Kuraby both 103mm and Coolangatta 90mm. > In the 6 hours to 3pm the rain was mainly confined to the Southeast coastal > district with the highest fall being 95mm at Logan City followed by Canungra > Army Camp 47mm and Hinze Dam 34mm. > > PS: Natural Bridge is about 30km inland of the Gold Coast, in the Numinbah > Valley - spectacular place! The waterfalls must be fantastic right now. > ------------------------------------------------------ > James Chambers -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 005 Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 23:05:43 -0800 From: Patrick Tobin [pdtobin at mail.act.apana.org.au] X-Mailer: Mozilla 2.01 (Win16; I) To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Canberra Storms Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Merry Christmas all - Patrick from Canberra Some Cu development occuring (10.30am EDT 25/12/98) on ranges to the SW - activity at this stage does not seem as enthusiastic as it was this time yesterday (but it is very early in the day to expect too much) and we have considerably more moisture to work with today (DP of 14.7 as opposed to around 8 or 9 yesterday). Canberra received a couple of drops of anvil rain about 3pm. Activity then became subdued for a couple of hours due to the heavy cirro-stratus from storms to the west. Around 6pm things got more interesting as the sea-breeze front approached from the east. Along the line of this front some quite spectacular looking cells developed. It was interesting to work out which way they would move as individual cells were moving from SW to NE (the anvils moved more from W to E), whereas the line of propagation seemed to be moving from E to W. At the same time a new lot of single cell storms had re-developed over the ranges to the west. An interesting observation was the relatively high base (around 3-4 km) and low precipitation of the cells over the ranges to the west in the dry air contrasted with the lower bases (< 1km) in the line of cells moving along the sea-breeze (combined with outflow boundary) from the east. In the end the line of propogation fizzled near the eastern part of Canberra (the airport to the east received 2.8mm and I in the west received 0mm but observed some interesting clouds and lightning). Some more respectable falls would have occured further east. The other interesting observation was the rapid dissipation of all activity (to the east and west) by about 9pm. At 9.30 the sky was totally clear. Hope Santa delivers some more today, Patrick -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 006 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Canberra Storms Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 12:23:16 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Pat, Looks like the storm situation is good as early development except in certain circumstances is not good. You should find the cap should be holding the convection and it will break later. I think. The indications are that it should happen down there. >Merry Christmas all - Patrick from Canberra > >Some Cu development occuring (10.30am EDT 25/12/98) on ranges to the SW - activity at >this stage does not seem as enthusiastic as it was this time yesterday (but it is very >early in the day to expect too much) and we have considerably more moisture to work with >today (DP of 14.7 as opposed to around 8 or 9 yesterday). > >Canberra received a couple of drops of anvil rain about 3pm. Activity then became >subdued for a couple of hours due to the heavy cirro-stratus from storms to the west. > >Around 6pm things got more interesting as the sea-breeze front approached from the east. >Along the line of this front some quite spectacular looking cells developed. It was >interesting to work out which way they would move as individual cells were moving from >SW to NE (the anvils moved more from W to E), whereas the line of propagation seemed to >be moving from E to W. At the same time a new lot of single cell storms had re-developed >over the ranges to the west. An interesting observation was the relatively high base >(around 3-4 km) and low precipitation of the cells over the ranges to the west in the >dry air contrasted with the lower bases (< 1km) in the line of cells moving along >the sea-breeze (combined with outflow boundary) from the east. > >In the end the line of propogation fizzled near the eastern part of Canberra (the >airport to the east received 2.8mm and I in the west received 0mm but observed some >interesting clouds and lightning). Some more respectable falls would have occured >further east. > >The other interesting observation was the rapid dissipation of all activity (to the east >and west) by about 9pm. At 9.30 the sky was totally clear. > >Hope Santa delivers some more today, > >Patrick -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 007 X-Originating-Ip: [203.25.186.106] From: "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Wycheproof weather Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 17:41:14 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Season's Greetings every1, It's hot as hell here (36 C or so) with 5/8 Cu some with a little vertical development, but they look capped. Light to moderate N - NW'ly. Should still get something out of it later (I Hope!) Kevin. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 008 X-Originating-Ip: [203.25.186.105] From: "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Wycheproof weather Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 18:09:49 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi again, Me and my big mouth! In the last twenty to thirty minutes the clouds have EXPLODED!! I've got large cumulus congestus to the south-west and north-west and what looks to be a shallow thundershower to the south-east! Things are really looking up! [1.12 p.m. local] Kevin. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 009 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Merry Christmas Weather Date: Thu, 24 Dec 1998 12:29:20 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Merry Christmas/Happy New Year everybody. May you all have many decent non damaging storms to chase in '99. At the moment in Orange its 28c 1019 hPa 48% Humidity which is high for this area. E. breeze at about 5 knots. Some scattered cumulus cloud. We may get a storm later but I won't hold my breath. Terry -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 010 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Merry Christmas Weather Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 15:27:28 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com You are a little to the East for storms I would think. The area around the Central west or further west should fire. I can see a storm to the far SW from Schofields Sydney which is on the satpic at the moment. 3:27pm > Merry Christmas/Happy New Year everybody. > >May you all have many decent non damaging storms to chase in '99. > >At the moment in Orange its 28c 1019 hPa 48% Humidity which is high for this >area. E. breeze at about 5 knots. Some scattered cumulus cloud. We may get a >storm later but I won't hold my breath. > >Terry -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 011 From: "Terry Bishop" [dymprog at mpx.com.au] To: "Aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Sorry folks Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 16:23:47 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook IMO, Build 9.0.2212 (4.71.2419.0) Importance: Normal X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I just realised that my clock was out when I sent the last letter/weather report. My real time clock is playing up on the hardware side. The battery is OK. Contrary to popular belief, forgetting to adjust the clock was not cause by the consumption of Christmas cheer. The time date should have been about 3.00pm 15.00Hrs 25/12/98. Terry -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 012 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: advice Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 16:47:50 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Possible severe storms with advice in E Victoria. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------- Jimmy Deguara from Schofields, Sydney -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 013 From: "wilkes" [lwilkes at mail.austasia.net] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Re: Camera shots Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 16:52:01 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Kevin, I just read your message and maybe able to give a little advice. Point and shoot cameras can be quite good if you use a faster speed film - the DX coding tricks the camera into getting some fairly good results, although you can't beat a Single Lens Reflex (SLR) for getting the longer exposure shots. Maybe this will help you a little, I don't want to sound bigheaded but almost 10 years of professional photography helps a little. Regards and Merry Christmas, Leigh -----Original Message----- >Hi Ben, > >Yeah, I've been using point and shoot cameras for twenty years and have >only about twenty halfway decent shots. > >SLR (Self-Loading Reflex, I believe) cameras must be better, just from >the point of view of choices. > >I guess anything that allows for different light levels, is waterproof, >and can zoom, or take time exposures, would be right up there with an LP >supercell on my Chrissy list. :) > >Good luck hunting over the hols. > >Kevin from Wycheproof. > >P.S. Being in the right place at the right time means nearly any camera >can be a godsend! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 014 X-Sender: paisley at mail.cobweb.com.au Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 16:20:29 +0930 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com From: Phil Bagust [mail.cobweb.com.au at redback.cobweb.com.au] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Adelaide 16:00 CST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Merry christmas to all, I know I've had a few too many sparkling burgandies... Weird weather in Adelaide at the mo. Don't know what the synoptic is, but we've just have a wind change (to the west) accompanied by a 5 degree drop in temp in 5 minutes. Odd linear (N/S aligned) high-based cloud passed o/head that had nice mammatus and virga but looked like mostly waste anvil. Out to the east over the Mt. Lofty ranges I see exploding cumulus towers..... hmmm....unfortunately I'm too drunk to chase..... +_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+ + Phil 'Paisley' Bagust + 'Nothing matters anymore... + + Uni of SA Magill Campus + Not even the fact + + paisley at cobweb.com.au + That nothing matters...' + + http://www.cobweb.com.au/~paisley + LAWRENCE GROSSBERG + +_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+_+ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 015 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Adelaide 16:00 CST Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 17:08:07 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Yes they are storms to the east and should give Paul Yole a good chance to chase something. ihope all Victorians are making the most of it. Jimmy ----- Original Message ----- >Merry christmas to all, I know I've had a few too many sparkling burgandies... > >Weird weather in Adelaide at the mo. Don't know what the synoptic is, but >we've just have a wind change (to the west) accompanied by a 5 degree drop >in temp in 5 minutes. Odd linear (N/S aligned) high-based cloud passed >o/head that had nice mammatus and virga but looked like mostly waste anvil. >Out to the east over the Mt. Lofty ranges I see exploding cumulus >towers..... > >hmmm....unfortunately I'm too drunk to chase..... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 016 X-Originating-Ip: [203.25.186.107] From: "Kevin Phyland" [kjphyland at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Wycheproof weather cont... Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 01:12:38 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi every1, I had to go offline for about four hours due to storms in the area (and champagne!) but thought I'd let y'all know what's happening here. Took off up Mt. Wycheproof (43 m. above the surrounding plain) to get some shots of burgeoning Cb. Got some nice congestus shots but the cc lightning spooked me and I drive around town trying to get a decent shot of the mammatus from a storm to the SE. Had about four high-base but shallow Cb cells go over and about 1 mm. of large-drop rain. Currently about 29 - 30 C and getting very dark west and NW. I'll have to go offline again I think. Hope others have had some Christmas cheer, at least I got my present! Kevin from Wycheproof. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 017 Subject: aussie-weather: Sat NSW chase Date: Fri, 25 Dec 98 20:19:38 +1000 X-Sender: mildad at mail.one.net.au X-Mailer: Claris Emailer 1.1 From: mildad [mildad at one.net.au] To: "aussie-weather" [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com The Victorians seem quiet so, with advisories and warnings out for several areas, hopefully they will have chase reports for us ( dont forget to fill in the severe thunderstorm report form which Paul set up:- http://australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/storm_news/stormrep.htm ) There are a few of us from Sydney and surrounds who will be chasing - probably in the southern + central tablelands and slopes which we're hoping will fire tomorrow (saturday). My car is full (ie 3 people) though anyone interested in chasing with us should mail the list so we can sort something out. Cheers David -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 018 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Large cell west Victoria Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 20:23:15 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Jimmy here from Schofields Sydney I hope Paul Yole chased the very large storm (possibly a sunpercell) Large anyway. It is in W Victoria and one to watch. There is another major cell around Melbourne. Will check out the radar.... As the e-mail from David suggests, we are out chasing so anyome who needs to chase please indicate their interest and e-mail the list. If you have a car, you can either chase with us or chase around Sydney. I am hoping that chasers cover as many areas as they can to see what we can do. If you want to even venture from your place to a good vantage point is a good idea and you could see so much more. Whatever you do, take your sunscreen and hats. It should get quite hot. Jimmy ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------- Jimmy Deguara from Schofields, Sydney e-mail: jimmyd at ozemail.com.au homepage with Michael Bath http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 019 From: disarm at braenet.com.au X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified) X-Mailer: Windows Eudora Pro Version 3.0 (32) Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 21:17:37 +1100 To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: nsw chase,Spare Seat ??? Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Matt Smith from Sydney here Im available to chase tomorrow but would prefer to hook up with someone as im only on my P's and 80k's is my limit.. :( Please mail me back personally if there is room in someone's car, i can drive out to rooty hill or wherever the main meeting point is, but from there id rather go with someone else and leave the car there..(im on my spare tyre as well :( Thanks in advance Matt -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 020 X-Originating-Ip: [202.12.90.131] From: "Patrick Tobin" [pdtobin at hotmail.com] To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Subject: aussie-weather: Canberra weather Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 02:06:13 PST Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Patrick from Canberra here -thanks Jimmy for earlier message. A good scattering of cells developed from about 1pm EDT onwards mainly, but not totally, confined to the higher ranges. Cells were mostly high base LP. Looked good from a distance. Thunder was heard for about 30 min from around 3pm and Canberra was then "anvilled out" for most of the rest of the afternoon. The sea breeze front was poorly defined as it arrived around 7pm - it got a couple of small cells developing explosively to the cirrus layer but they were too small to be sustainable. I have been watching a much more substantial area of storms developing and spreading to the SW over the alpine areas. I would not be surprised if some were not severe - (as are likely linked to the storms being warned of by the VIC BOM in NE Vic) great to see the spreading, exploding cauliflowers in front of the setting sun. It seems that this area will pass south of Canberra overnight. Unlike last night the storm area to the south does not show signs of dissipating and given development over western NSW and NW Vic, I wouldn't be surprised if we don't have some activity later tonight. Hopefully it won't be in the morning and then get in the way of tomorrow's convection. On another note, Cyclone Cora looks pretty interesting - I am sure Fiji is well pleased with its continuing southerly track. I also notice the circulation east of Cairns seems less well defined than this morning (although the cloud area is thicker). Looks like the Qld BOM were right in saying the environment was not conducive to further development. Good luck all those chasing tomorrow. Patrick -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 021 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Chase Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 21:20:22 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I forgot to mention, those who wish to chase must get up early and be on the net earlier tomorrow morning around 7:00am - 7:30am. Anyone who cannot wake up will miss out on the directions based on the final decision. Our plan is to chase either down the S Tablelands or the Central West and Tablelands Orange to Cowra and so on. E-mail me separately if you wish to call me. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------- Jimmy Deguara from Schofields, Sydney e-mail: jimmyd at ozemail.com.au homepage with Michael Bath http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 022 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: aussie-weather: Storms west Victoria Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 21:25:52 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Even though the conditions were not absolutely alike, I would say the situation in western Victoria was similar to the Tornado day in January 1997 as well as 10th November 1997. Take a look at the latest satpic JCU ftp://ftp.ece.jcu.edu.au/JCUMetSat/ausv/ausv01.gif Is that what I think it is??? There seems to be circulation in its structure?? West Victoria ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------- Jimmy Deguara from Schofields, Sydney e-mail: jimmyd at ozemail.com.au homepage with Michael Bath http://www.australiansevereweather.simplenet.com/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 023 From: "wilkes" [lwilkes at mail.austasia.net] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Storms west Victoria Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 21:52:18 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Hi Jimmy, I've just had a look at the SATPIC, I think it's a little hard to tell if there is any circulation, I'll wait for the next update. At the moment I'm in Geelong and it has gone deathly still - there is a slight rumble of thunder in the distance. Leigh -----Original Message----- >Even though the conditions were not absolutely alike, I would say the >situation in western Victoria was similar to the Tornado day in January 1997 >as well as 10th November 1997. Take a look at the latest satpic JCU > >ftp://ftp.ece.jcu.edu.au/JCUMetSat/ausv/ausv01.gif > >Is that what I think it is??? There seems to be circulation in its >structure?? West Victoria -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 024 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Storms west Victoria Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 22:05:54 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I wouldn't bet on it, but it has the right structure conditions etc for it to be a supercell. But more in depth radar scans are needed to define this. All I'm saying is that it has developed in the correct environment. By the way, aren't you the person who is in contact with Clive Herbet?? Jimmy ----- Original Message ----- >Hi Jimmy, > >I've just had a look at the SATPIC, I think it's a little hard to tell if >there is any circulation, I'll wait for the next update. > >At the moment I'm in Geelong and it has gone deathly still - there is a >slight rumble of thunder in the distance. > >Leigh -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 025 From: "wilkes" [lwilkes at mail.austasia.net] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Storms west Victoria Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 22:10:17 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.1 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V4.72.3110.3 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com Yer I couldn't agree more, we do need more defined pics. And yes, well no, I've been trying to get in touch with him over the past week but have had no luck. I'll have to try again over the weekend. Leigh -----Original Message----- >I wouldn't bet on it, but it has the right structure conditions etc for it >to be a supercell. But more in depth radar scans are needed to define this. >All I'm saying is that it has developed in the correct environment. > >By the way, aren't you the person who is in contact with Clive Herbet?? > >Jimmy -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 026 From: "Jimmy Deguara" [jimmyd at ozemail.com.au] To: [aussie-weather at world.std.com] Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Storms west Victoria Date: Fri, 25 Dec 1998 22:20:29 +1100 X-Msmail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 5.00.0810.800 X-Mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V5.00.0810.800 Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com I could get you in touch but I think he will be online very soon so you will be able to meet around then... If you really want, e-mail me personally.. I thought you were the person who did the Geelong weather service. He knows Clive very well... Jimmy ----- Original Message ----- >Yer I couldn't agree more, we do need more defined pics. And yes, well no, >I've been trying to get in touch with him over the past week but have had no >luck. > >I'll have to try again over the weekend. > >Leigh
Document: 981225.htm
Updated: 25th February, 1999 |
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