WTPS31 PGTW 010300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI) WARNING NR 001
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   010000Z1 --- NEAR 15.6S2 153.1E0
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 153.1E0
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   011200Z4 --- 16.2S9 151.4E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z2 --- 16.8S5 149.3E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 17.4S2 147.1E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z3 --- 18.0S9 145.1E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.8S4 152.7E5. THE SUSPECT AREA WHICH
WAS UNDER A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW
311500), EAST OF THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA, HAS DEVELOPED INTO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI). TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI),
SITUATED ABOUT 450 NM EAST OF THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA, HAS
TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONVECTIVE
BAND DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. A 312251Z4 SPECIAL
SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS SHOWED THE CONVECTION WRAPPING
IN TOWARD THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
LOW/MID-LEVEL HIGH SITUATED SOUTHEAST OF NEW CALEDONIA IS EXPECTED
TO BUILD OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COAST OF AUSTRALIA THROUGH THE
PERIOD. TC 22P SHOULD TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE BEFORE
MOVING ONSHORE AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING
SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 311451Z MAR 00 TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 311500) NEXT WARNINGS
AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9). REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HUDAH) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20000401 15:00z
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI) WARNING NR 002
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   011200Z4 --- NEAR 16.2S9 152.0E8
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 152.0E8
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z2 --- 16.6S3 151.1E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 17.0S8 149.9E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z3 --- 17.3S1 148.3E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z6 --- 17.5S3 146.7E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
011500Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.3S0 151.8E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (TESSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST
OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA.
ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH
IMPROVING CONVECTION AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER. A 011126Z1 SPECIAL
SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO
CONSOLIDATE AND WRAP INTO THE CENTER. TC 22P (TESSI) IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, WHICH EXTENDS FROM SOUTH OF NEW CALEDONIA INTO
SOUTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A
NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT TRACKS UNDER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020152Z0) AND 021500Z8 (DTG
021352Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HUDAH) WARNINGS (WTXS31
PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20000402 03:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI) WARNING NR 003
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   020000Z2 --- NEAR 17.8S6 150.0E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 150.0E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 18.8S7 148.2E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z3 --- 19.3S3 146.5E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z6 --- 19.7S7 145.1E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   040000Z4 --- 20.0S2 143.7E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
020300Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.1S0 149.5E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (TESSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF TOWNSVILLE, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED
ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45
KNOTS. A 011505Z2 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) PASS
DEPICTED A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE EAST HALF OF THE SYSTEM. 200
MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM SITUATED JUST EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AXIS. TC 22P (TESSI) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK UNDER STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE LOW/MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POSITIONED
SOUTHWEST OF NEW CALEDONIA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLIGHTLY
INTENSIFY BEFORE MOVING ONSHORE BY THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0). REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE  21S (HUDAH) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20000402 15:00z
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI) WARNING NR 004
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   021200Z5 --- NEAR 18.6S5 148.0E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 148.0E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z3 --- 19.0S0 146.2E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z6 --- 19.3S3 144.8E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   040000Z4 --- 19.4S4 143.6E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.7S6 147.5E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (TESSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 82 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF TOWNSVILLE, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING
POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES
OF 45 TO 55 KNOTS, AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED RADAR DATA FROM THE
TOWNSVILLE, AUSTRALIA RADAR INDICATES THAT TC 22P (TESSI) IS EAST OF
PALM ISLAND WITH DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS WEAKENING CONVECTION AND DECREASING SYSTEM ORGANIZATION OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 22P (TESSI) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW/MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POSITIONED
SOUTHWEST OF NEW CALEDONIA. TC 22P (TESSI) SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL AT
THE 12-HOUR POINT ABOUT 28 NM NORTHWEST OF TOWNSVILLE, AUSTRALIA.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DECREASE INTENSITY AND TO DISSIPATE OVER
LAND BY THE 36-HOUR POINT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030152Z1) AND
031500Z9 (DTG 031352Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HUDAH)
WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
=========================================================================
WTPS31 PGTW 20000403 03:00z
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (TESSI) WARNING NR 005
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   030000Z3 --- NEAR 18.8S7 145.8E8
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 145.8E8
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z6 --- 18.9S8 144.2E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.8S7 145.4E4.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (TESSI) MOVED ONSHORE ABOUT 20 NM SOUTH OF
LUCINDA, AUSTRALIA AT 022030Z7. CITIES WITHIN THE AREA REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF GALE FORCE (34 TO 47 KNOTS). TROPICAL CYCLONE
(TC) 22P (TESSI) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6
HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE AND
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS, AND SYNOPTIC
DATA. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND THE TOWNSVILLE RADAR LOOP INDICATED THAT
THE MAJORITY OF THE CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS
PRIMARILY CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM. TC 22P
(TESSI) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD AND DISSIPATE. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE  21S (HUDAH) WARNINGS
(WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE
23P (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

Tropical cyclone tracks developed by Michael Bath using operational warnings and advisories.

Document: tropical_cyclone_tessi_jtwc_advisories.htm Updated: 17 June 2020 [Australian Severe Weather index] [Copyright Notice] [Email Contacts] [Search This Site] [Privacy Policy]